بیابانزایی بزرگترین چالش محیطزیستی است که امنیت غذایی و تنوع زیستی را تهدید میکند. هدف این پژوهش ارزیابی شدت و خطر بیابانزایی در استان خراسان رضوی و ارائه راهکارهای مدیریتی با استفاده از مدل مفهومی DPSIR-M است؛ بنابراین، در ابتدا نقشه حساسیت اراضی به بیابانزایی با مدل جهانی ESAs به دست آمد و سپس با استفاده از مدل ریسک، نقشه خطر بیابانزایی تعیین شد. نتایج نشان داد بیش از 30 درصد از منطقه موردمطالعه در کلاس بیابانزایی نسبتاً بحرانی تا شدید قرار دارد. از نظر شکنندگی، حدود 59 درصد از مناطق استان خراسان رضوی در شرایط محیطی نسبتاً شکننده تا بسیار شکننده قرار داشته و در حدود 7 درصد نیز دارای پتانسیل شکنندگی هستند که در صورت بدتر شدن وضعیت از نظر شرایط محیطی، این میزان به کلاس شکننده اضافه خواهد شد. نتایج نقشه خطر بیابانزایی بیانگر آن است که بیش از 98 درصد مساحت منطقه موردمطالعه در کلاس خطر بیابانزایی زیاد و خیلی زیاد قرار داشته و تنها 2 درصد از مناطق در کلاس متوسط تا خیلی کم قرار دارند. بر اساس نقشههای شدت و خطر بیابانزایی و با استفاده از مدل DPSIR-M، 6 سیاست و 46 استراتژی و برنامه عملیاتی برای مدیریت بهینه اراضی استان خراسان رضوی پیشنهاد شد. همچنین پیشنهاد میشود نتایج به دست آمده از این پژوهش مورد استفاده مدیران و کارشناسان ادارات اجرایی قرار گیرد.
Acheampong, E.O., Macgregor, C.J., Sloan, S., & Sayer, J. (2019). Deforestation is Driven by Agricultural Expansion in Ghana's Forest Reserves. Scientific African, 5, e00146. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sciaf.2019.e00146
Agyemang, I., McDonald, A., & Carver, S. (2007). Application of the DPSIR Approach to Environmental Degradation Assessment in Northern Ghana. Natural Resources Forum,31, 212–225. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1477-8947.2007.00152.x
Akbari, M. (2016). Proposing an Early Warning System for Desertification Hazard (Case Study: Semi Desert Region of the Gorgan Plain, Golestan Province, Iran). Ph.D. Thesis. Gorgan University of Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources Iran. 403 p. [In Persian]
Akbari, M., Feyzi Koushki, F., Memarian, H., Azamirad, M., & Noughani, M. (2020a). Prioritizing Effective Indicators of Desertification Hazard Using Factor-Cluster Analysis, in Arid Regions of Iran. Arabian Journal of Geosciences,13(8), 1-17. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-020-05296-9
Akbari, M., Jafari Shalamzari, M., Memarian, H., & Gholami, A. (2020b). Monitoring Desertification Processes Using Ecological Indicators and Providing Management Programs in Arid Regions of Iran. Ecological Indicators, 111, 106011. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2019.106011
Akbari, M., Ownegh, M., Asgari, H.R., Sadoddin, A., & Khosravi, H. (2016). Desertification Risk Assessment and Management Program. Global Journal of Environmental Science and Management,2(4), 365-380. https://doi.org/10.22034/gjesm.2016.02.04.006
Akbari, M., Memarian, H., Neamatollahi, E., Jafari Shalamzari, M., Alizadeh Noughani, M., & Zakeri, D. (2020c). Prioritizing Policies and Strategies for Desertification Risk Management Using MCDM–DPSIR Approach in Northeastern Iran. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 23, 2503–2523. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-020-00684-3
Akbari, M., Neamatollahi, E., Noughani, M.A., & Memarian, H. (2022). Spatial Distribution of Soil Erosion Risk and Its Economic Impacts Using an Integrated CORINE-GIS Approach. Environmental Earth Sciences, 81, 287. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-022-10405-w
Akbari, M., Talebanfard, A., Pakdin, M., & Shahrokhi, M. (2024). Developing and Prioritizing Desertification Risk Management Strategies Using Scenario Planning in Khorasan Razavi Province. Desert Ecosystem Engineering, 12(39), 1-22. [In Persian] https://doi.org/22052/deej.2024.253646.1023
Ale-Mohammad, S., Yavari, A. R., Salehi, S., & Zebardast, L. (2014). Using the Strategic Environmental Assessment for Compilation Polices of Sustainable Development Plan in Lake Urmia. International Journal of Environment Studies, 40, 645-667. [In Persian] https://doi.org/ 10.22059/jes.2014.52211
Ammann, W. (2016, February). Early Warning in Disaster Risk Reduction- Needs and Potential. Paper Presented at the Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Integrated Natural Disaster Management (Iran), Tehran.
Anagnostopoulos, A. (2006, February). A Brief Report on Research Needs for Natural Hazards. Based on the Recent Workshop “Climate Change-Research Challenges", Brussels in Memory of Anver Ghazi.
Atkins, J. P., Burdon, D., Elliott, M., & Gregory, A. J. (2011). Management of the Marine Environment: Integrating Ecosystem Services and Societal Benefits with the DPSIR Approach in a Systems Approach. Marine Pollution Bulletin, 62(2), 215–226. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpolbul.2010.12.012
Baartman, J. E. M., Van Lynden, G. W. J., Reed, M. S., Ritsema, C. J. & Hessel, R. (2007, November). Desertification and land degradation: origins, processes, and solutions, a literature review (Report No. 4). Scientific reports, ISRIC, Netherlands.
Bastas, M., & Abdelrahim, A. A. (2019). Awareness of desertification of arable land among university students in Libya. Religación. Revista de Ciencias Sociales y Humanidades,4(14),136–147. https://www.redalyc.org/journal/6437/643768221017/html/
Bizikova, L., Metternicht, G., & Yarde, T. (2018). Environmental Mainstreaming and Policy Coherence: Essential Policy Tools to Link International Agreements with National Development—A Case Study of the Caribbean Region. Environment, Development and Sustainable, 20, 975–995. http://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-017-9924-x
Carr, E. R., Wingard, P. M., Yorty, S. C., Thompson, M. C., Jensen, N. K., & Roberson, J. (2007). Applying DPSIR to Sustainable Development. International Journal of Sustainable Development, 14, 543–555. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504500709469753
Davari, S., Rashki, A., Akbari, M., & Talebanfard, A. (2017). Assessing Intensity and Risk of Desertification and Management Programs (Case Study: Ghasemabad Plain of Bajestan, Khorasan Razavi Province). Desert Manage, 5(1), 91-106. [In Persian] https://doi.org/10.22034/jdmal.2017.27855
EEA. (1995). Europe’s Environment: The Dobris Assessment. European Environment Agency Report, Copenhagen.
EEA. (1999). Environmental Indicators: Typology and Overview (Unpublished Technical Report No. 25). European Environment Agency, Copenhagen.
EEA. (2003). Environmental Indicators: Typology and Use in Reporting. European Environment Agency Report, Copenhagen.
Fan, M., Shibata, H., & Chen, L. (2017). Assessing High Impacts of Climate Change: Spatial Characteristics and Relationships of Hydrological Ecosystem Services in Northern Japan (Teshio River Watershed). Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 23(4), 525-552. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-017-9748-x
Fang, L., Bai, Z., Wei, S., Yanfen, H., Zongming, W., Kaishan, S., Dianwei, L., & Zhiming, L. (2008). Sandy desertification change and its driving forces in western Jilin province, north China. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 136, 379–390. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-007-9693-3
Feyzi Koushki, F., Akbari, M., Memarian, H., & Azamirad, M. (2019). Identifying and Ranking Important Factors of Desertification in Khorasan Razavi Province using Delphi Method. Journal of Geography and Environmental Hazards, 8(3), 205-225. https://doi.org/10.22067/geo.v0i0.84127. [In Persian]
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). (2018). IPCC Special Report: Global Warming of 1.5 °C, https://www.ipcc.ch/sr15/.
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). (2021). AR6 Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis, https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/
Jafari, H., Akbari, M., Kashki, M. T., & Badiee Nameghi, S. H. (2019). An Efficiency Comparison of the IMDPA and ESAs Models on Desertification Risk Management in Arid Regions of Southern Khorasan Razavi, Iran. Arid Biome, 9(1), 39–54. https://aridbiom.yazd.ac.ir/article_1542.html?lang=en. [In Persian]
Khajeddin, S.J., Akbari, M., Karimzadeh, H.R., & Eghbal, M.K. (2008). Detecting desertification processes using TM and ETM+ data, north of Isfahan, Iran. Chinese Journal of Plant Ecology, 32(2), 328-335. https://doi.org/10.3773/j.issn.1005-264x.2008.02.009
Kosmas, C., Tsara, M. Moustakas, N. D., Kosma, D., & Yassoglou, N. (2006). Environmentally Sensitive Areas and Indicators of Desertification. In: Kepner, W.G., Rubio, J.L., Mouat, D.A., Pedrazzini, F. (eds) Desertification in the Mediterranean Region. A Security Issue. NATO Security Through Science Series, vol 3. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org.10.1007/1-4020-3760-0_25
Kristiansen, P. (2004). The DPSIR Approach, Paper Presented at the Workshop on a Comprehensive/Detailed Assessment of the Vulnerability of Water Resources to Environmental Change in Africa Using River Basin Approach. UNEP Headquarters, Nairobi, Kenya.
Lahlaoi, H., Rhinane, H., Hilali, A., Lahssini, S., & Moukrim, S. (2017). Desertification Assessment Using MEDALUS Model in Watershed Oued El Maleh, Morocco. Geosciences, 7(50), 1-16. https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences7030050
Lamqadem, P., & Rahimi. S. (2018). Desertification Sensitivity Analysis Using MEDALUS Model and GIS: A Case Study of the Oases of Middle Draa Valley, Morocco Sensor, 18(7), 2230. https://doi.org/10.3390/s18072230
Magdy, M., El-Salam, A., & Elhakem, A.H. (2016). Desertification and Its Effect on the Erosion of Vegetation in the South-Western Region of Saudi Arabia. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 188 (3), 164-173. https://doi.org/ 1007/s10661-016-5164-z
Memarian, H., Komeh, Z., Tavasoli, A., Tajbakhsh, M., Abbasi, A., & Parsayi, L, (2016). Health and Environmental Considerations of Rooftop Catchment Systems (Case study: Aq Gala, Golestan Province, Iran). Water Harvesting Research, 1, 1-11. https://doi.org/ 22077/JWHR.2017.372
Memarian, H., & Akbari, M. (2021). Prediction of Combined Effect of Climate and Land Use Changes on Soil Erosion in Iran Using GloSEM Data. Iranian Journal of Ecohydrology, 8(2), 513-534. [In Persian]. https://doi.org.10.22059/ije.2021.320754.1482
Mohammadi, R., Dastorani, M.T., Akbari, M., & Ahani, H. (2019). The Impacts of Magnetized Water Treatment on Different Morphological and Physiological Factors of Plant Species in Arid Regions. Water Supply, 19(6), 1587-1596. https://doi.org/10.2166/ws.2019.027
Nabati, J., Nezami, A., Neamatollahi, E., & Akbari, M. (2020a). GIS-Based Agro-Ecological Zoning for Crop Suitability Using Fuzzy Inference System in Semi-Arid Regions. Ecological Indicators, 117, 106646. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2020.106646
Nabati, J., Nezami, A., Neamatollahi, E., & Akbari, M. (2020b). An Integrated Approach Land Suitability for Agroecological Zoning Based on Fuzzy Inference System and GIS. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 25, 2316-2338.https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-022-02127-7
Nasrian, A., Akbari, M., Faridhosseini, A., & Neamatollahi, E. (2018). Spatio-Temporal Monitoring of Groundwater Changes on Desertification Intensity in Agricultural Areas in Dargaz Plain, Khorasan Razavi province. Desert Ecosystem Engineering Journal,7(21), 75-90. https://deej.kashanu.ac.ir/article_112660_en.html?lang=en
Nasrian, A., Akbari, M., Faridhosseini, A., Neamatollahi, E., & davari, S. (2019). Quantitative Assessment of Desertification Intensity Indices in the Agricultural Lands of Dargaz Plain, Khorasan Razavi Province. Desert Management, 7(13), 149-170. https://doi.org.22034/jdmal.2019.36537 [In Persian]
Rasmy, M., Gad, A., Abdelsalam, H., & Siwailam, M. (2010). A Dynamic Simulation Model of Desertification. Egyptian Journal of Remote Sensing and Space Sciences, 13, 101-111. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrs.2010.03.001
Salvati, L., & Bajocco, S. (2011). Land Sensitivity to Desertification Across Italy: Past, Present, and Future. Applied Geography, 31, 223–231. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2010.04.006
Salvati, L., & Toward, A. (2014). Toward a ‘Sustainable’ Land Degradation? Vulnerability Degree and Component Balance in a Rapidly Changing Environment. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 16, 239–254. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-013-9463-z
Sarbazi, M., Ownegh, M., Mohammadian Behbahani, A., & Akbari, M. (2022). Quantitative Assessment of the Desertification Intensity and Risk: A Case Study of Sarakhs City. Desert Ecosystem Engineering, 10(31), 15-30. https://deej.kashanu.ac.ir/article_112736.html?lang=en [In Persian]
Shahsavari, A., & Akbari, M. (2018). Potential of Solar Energy in Developing Countries for Reducing Energy-Related Emissions. Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews, 90, 275–291. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2018.03.065
Sekovski, I., Newton, A., & Dennison, W.C. (2012). Megacities in the Coastal Zone: Using a Driver-Pressure-State-Impact-Response Approach to Address Complex Environmental Problems. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 96, 48-59. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2011.07.011
Talebanfard, A. A., Akbari, M., & Azami rad, M. (2022). Sensitivity Areas Assessment of Desertification Using ESAs Model and Prioritizing Management Strategies (Case study: Kavir-e- Namak Basin, Khorasan Razavi Province). Desert Management, 10(2), 1-20. https://doi.org/10.22034/jdmal.2022.549710.1377 [In Persian]
UNCED. (1992, June). Managing Fragile Ecosystems: Combating Desertification and Drought. United Nations Conference on Environment & Development. Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
UNCCD. (2020). Desertification – Coping with today’s global challenges in the context of the strategy of the United Nations Convention to combat desertification, Unites Nations Convention to Combat Desertification. Report on the HighLevel Policy Dialogue. Bonn, Germany.
اکبری,مرتضی , سربازی,محبوبه , سیبویه,علی و فدایی,سمیه . (1403). ارزیابی خطر بیابانزایی و ارائه برنامههای مدیریتی با استفاده از مدل مفهومی DPSIR-M در استان خراسان رضوی. جغرافیا و مخاطرات محیطی, 13(2), 210-239. doi: 10.22067/geoeh.2023.83917.1404
MLA
اکبری,مرتضی , , سربازی,محبوبه , , سیبویه,علی , و فدایی,سمیه . "ارزیابی خطر بیابانزایی و ارائه برنامههای مدیریتی با استفاده از مدل مفهومی DPSIR-M در استان خراسان رضوی", جغرافیا و مخاطرات محیطی, 13, 2, 1403, 210-239. doi: 10.22067/geoeh.2023.83917.1404
HARVARD
اکبری مرتضی, سربازی محبوبه, سیبویه علی, فدایی سمیه. (1403). 'ارزیابی خطر بیابانزایی و ارائه برنامههای مدیریتی با استفاده از مدل مفهومی DPSIR-M در استان خراسان رضوی', جغرافیا و مخاطرات محیطی, 13(2), pp. 210-239. doi: 10.22067/geoeh.2023.83917.1404
CHICAGO
مرتضی اکبری, محبوبه سربازی, علی سیبویه و سمیه فدایی, "ارزیابی خطر بیابانزایی و ارائه برنامههای مدیریتی با استفاده از مدل مفهومی DPSIR-M در استان خراسان رضوی," جغرافیا و مخاطرات محیطی, 13 2 (1403): 210-239, doi: 10.22067/geoeh.2023.83917.1404
VANCOUVER
اکبری مرتضی, سربازی محبوبه, سیبویه علی, فدایی سمیه. ارزیابی خطر بیابانزایی و ارائه برنامههای مدیریتی با استفاده از مدل مفهومی DPSIR-M در استان خراسان رضوی. جغرافیا و مخاطرات محیطی. 1403;13(2):210-239. doi: 10.22067/geoeh.2023.83917.1404