الگوی سازگاری معیشت جوامع روستایی ایران در مواجه با تغییرات اقلیمی

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 دانشجوی دکتری جغرافیا و برنامه‌ریزی روستایی، دانشکده علوم انسانی، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس، تهران، ایران

2 دانشیار جغرافیا و برنامه‌ریزی روستایی، دانشکده علوم انسانی، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس، تهران، ایران

چکیده

امروزه معیشت روستائیان به‌شدت با تغییرات اقلیمی گره‌خورده است؛ به‌طوری‌که با افزایش این تغییرات وضعیت پایداری معیشتی آنان با بحران مواجه است. این مسئله نشان از چگونگی الگوی سازگاری این جوامع در برخورد با این تغییرات دارد؛ بنابراین، هدف پژوهش حاضر شناسایی الگوی سازگاری معیشت جوامع روستایی ایران در مواجه با تغییرات اقلیمی است. روش مطالعه در زمره مطالعات کاربردی است، که از نظر هدف توصیفی– تبیینی، در یک رویکرد کیفی و کمی صورت پذیرفته است. این تحقیق از روش نمونه‌گیری غیراحتمالی هدفمند بوده، و برای گردآوری داده‌های ثانویه از روش اسنادی و داده‌های اولیه از روش میدانی (پرسشنامه کیو) استفاده ‌شده. جامعه موردمطالعه شامل خبرگان است؛ پرسشنامه‌ها به‌صورت الکترونیکی، برای 20 نفر از کارشناسان (جامعه دانشگاهی) ارسال گردید. جهت تجزیه‌وتحلیل داده­های جمع‌آوری‌شده از روش تحلیل عاملی کیو استفاده‌ شده. نتایج پژوهش حاکی از آن است که الگوی پایین به بالا به‌عنوان راهبرد محوری در سازگاری معیشتی جوامع روستایی در برابر تغییرات اقلیمی خواهد بود. از سویی دو عامل "سازگاری زیست‌محیطی" با امتیاز 34.37 و "سازگاری اجتماعی" با امتیاز 23.8 به‌عنوان مهم‌ترین راهبردها معیشتی برای جوامع روستایی ایران شناخته شدند که این الگوی سازگاری می­تواند در قالب برنامه‌های اجرایی همچون: آموزش الگوی­های رفتاری سازگار؛ ارتقاء پشتیبانی اجتماعی؛ شیوه‌های صرفه‌جویی در مصرف آب و اشتراک‌گذاری دانش بومی جوامع روستایی در مواجه با تغییرات اقلیمی محقق گردد. همچنین، برای پایداری معیشت روستائیان در مواجه با رویدادهای اقلیمی، نهادهای داخلی و خارجی می‌توانند با بهره‌گیری از ظرفیت‌های دانش بومی به سیاست‌های سازگاری دست پیدا کنند.

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات


  • Abdulai, A., Ziemah, K., & Akaabre, P. B. (2017). Climate Change and Rural Livelihoods in the Lawra District of Ghana. A qualitative Based Study. European Scientific Journal, 13(11), 160-181. https://doi.org/10.19044/esj.2017.v13n11p160
  • Adhikari, S., Baral, H., & Nitschke, C. (2018). Adaptation to Climate Change in Panchase Mountain Ecological Regions of Nepal. Environments, 5(3), 42. https://doi.org/10.3390/environments5030042
  • Amfo, B., & Ali, E. B. (2020). Climate Change Coping and Adaptation Strategies: How Do Cocoa Farmers in Ghana Diversify Farm Income? Forest Policy and Economics, 119, 102265. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.forpol.2020.102265
  • Asghari Sarem, A., & Markazi Moghaddam, N. (2015). Analysis of Success Crucial Factors for Human Resource Development at Health Sector. Public Organizations Management, 3(3), 27-50. [In Persian] https://dorl.net/dor/20.1001.1.2322522.1394.3.0.8.6
  • Ateeq-Ur-Rehman, M., Siddiqui, B. N., Hashmi, N., Masud, K., Adeel, M., Khan, M. R. A., Dawood, K. M., Shah, S. A. A., & Karim, M. (2018). Climate Change Impact on Rural Livelihoods of Small Landholder: A Case of Rajanpur, Pakistan. International Journal of Applied Agricultural Sciences, 4(2), 28. https://doi.10.11648/j.ijaas.20180402.11
  • Byers, E., Gidden, M., Leclère, D., Balkovic, J., Burek, P., Ebi, K., Greve, P., Grey, D., Havlik, P., & Hillers, A. (2018). Global Exposure and Vulnerability to Multi-Sector Development and Climate Change Hotspots. Environmental Research Letters, 13(5), 055012. https://doi.1088/1748-9326/aabf45
  • Currenti, R., Pearce, T., Salabogi, T., Vuli, L., Salabogi, K., Doran, B., Kitson, R., & Ford, J. (2019). Adaptation to Climate Change in an Interior Pacific Island Village: A Case Study of Nawairuku, Ra, Fiji. Human Ecology, 47, 65-80. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10745-019-0049-8
  • Dapilah, F., Nielsen, J. Ø., & Friis, C. (2020). The Role of Social Networks in Building Adaptive Capacity and Resilience to Climate Change: A Case Study from Northern Ghana. Climate and Development, 12(1), 42-56. https://doi.org/10.1080/17565529.2019.1596063
  • Dhungana, N., Silwal, N., Upadhaya, S., Khadka, C., Regmi, S. K., Joshi, D., & Adhikari, S. (2020). Rural Coping and Adaptation Strategies for Climate Change by Himalayan Communities in Nepal. Journal of Mountain Science, 17(6), 1462-1474. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-019-5616-3
  • Douglass-Gallagher, E., & Stuart, D. (2019). Crop Growers’ Adaptive capacity to climate change: A situated study of agriculture in Arizona’s Verde Valley. Environmental Management, 63, 94-109. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00267-018-1114-6
  • Escarcha, J. F., Lassa, J. A., Palacpac, E. P., & Zander, K. K. (2020). Livelihoods Transformation and Climate Change Adaptation: The Case of Smallholder Water Buffalo Farmers in the Philippines. Environmental Development, 33, 100468. https://doi.org.1016/j.envdev.2019.100468
  • Francioni, M., Trozzo, L., Baldoni, N., Toderi, M., Bianchini, M., Kishimoto-Mo, A. W., & D’Ottavio, P. (2022). Management of a Mediterranean Forage/Cereal-Based Cropping System: An Ecosystem Service Multisectoral Analysis in the Perspective of Climate Change. Atmosphere, 13(3), 487. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13030487
  • Füssel, H.M. (2009). An updated assessment of the risks from climate change based on research published since the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report. Climatic change, 97(3-4), 469-482. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9648-5
  • Gwatirisa, P. R., Pamphilon, B., & Mikhailovich, K. (2017). Coping with Drought in Rural Papua New Guinea: a Western Highlands Case Study. Ecology of Food and Nutrition, 56(5), 393-410. https://doi.org/10.1080/03670244.2017.1352504
  • Hermans, K., & Garbe, L. (2019). Droughts, Livelihoods, and Human Migration in Northern Ethiopia. Regional Environmental Change, 19, 1101-1111. https://doi.org/1007/s10113-019-01473-z
  • Hossain, M. A., Ahmed, M., Ojea, E., & Fernandes, J. A. (2018). Impacts and Responses to Environmental Change in Coastal Livelihoods of South-West Bangladesh. Science of the Total Environment, 637, 954-970. https://doi.org/1016/j.scitotenv.2018.04.328
  • Inman, E. N., Hobbs, R. J., & Tsvuura, Z. (2020). No Safety Net in the Face of Climate Change: The Case of Pastoralists in Kunene Region, Namibia. PloS One, 15(9), e0238982. https://doi.10.1371/journal.pone.0238982
  • IPCC, A. (2014). AR5 Synthesis Report: Climate Change 2014. https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/syr/
  • Jobbins, G., & Henley, G. (2015). Food in an Uncertain Future: The Impacts of Climate Change on Food Security and Nutrition in the Middle East and North Africa. Overseas Development Institute: London, UK.
  • Jungudo, M. (2023). The Impact of Climate Change in Egypt. In: Ani, K.J. (eds) Resource Conflict and Environmental Relations in Africa. Palgrave Macmillan, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-7343-7_11
  • Karimi, M., Kaki S., & Rafati, S. (2018). Iran's Future Climate Conditions and Hazard in Climate Research. Journal Of Spatial Analysis Environmental Hazards, 5(3), 1-22. [In Persian] https://www.sid.ir/paper/381121/en
  • Karki, S., Burton, P., & Mackey, B. (2020). Climate Change Adaptation by Subsistence and Smallholder Farmers: Insights from Three Agro-Ecological Regions of Nepal. Cogent Social Sciences, 6(1), 1720555. https://doi.org/10.1080/23311886.2020.1720555
  • Khayyam, U., & Noureen, S. (2020). Assessing the Adverse Effects of Flooding for the Livelihood of the Poor and the Level of External Response: A Case Study of Hazara Division, Pakistan. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 27(16), 19638-19649. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-08303-4
  • Kogo, B. K., Kumar, L., & Koech, R. (2021). Climate Change and Variability in Kenya: A Review of Impacts on Agriculture and Food Security. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 23, 23-43. https://doi.10.1007/s10668-020-00589-1
  • Kolawole, O. D., Motsholapheko, M. R., Ngwenya, B. N., Thakadu, O., Mmopelwa, G., & Kgathi, D. L. (2016). Climate Variability and Rural Livelihoods: How Households Perceive and Adapt to Climatic Shocks in the Okavango Delta, Botswana. Weather, Climate, and Society, 8(2), 131-145. https://doi.10.1175/WCAS-D-15-0019.1
  • Lewis, P., Monem, M. A., & Impiglia, A. (2018). Impacts of climate change on farming systems and livelihoods in the Near East North Africa. With a special focus on small-scale family farming. https://openknowledge.fao.org/handle/20.500.14283/ca1439en
  • Liao, C., Agrawal, A., Clark, P. E., Levin, S. A., & Rubenstein, D. I. (2020). Landscape Sustainability Science in the Drylands: Mobility, Rangelands and Livelihoods. Landscape Ecology, 35, 2433-2447. https://doi.org/1007/s10980-020-01068-8
  • Liu, Y., Hultman, M., Eisingerich, A. B., & Wei, X. (2020). How Does Brand Loyalty Interact with Tourism Destination? Exploring the Effect of Brand Loyalty on Place Attachment. Annals of tourism research, 81, 102879. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.annals.2020.102879
  • Lokuthula, M., & Geoffrey, M. (2022). Themes in Climate Change and Variability Within the Context of Rural Livelihoods. A Systematic Literature Review. Research in Globalization, 5, 100101. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resglo.2022.100101
  • Merdasi, G., Yazdanpanah, M., Baradaran, M., & Forouzani, M. (2017). Representation of Farmers’ Professional Identities in Shushtar District, Iran: A Study Based on Q-Methodology. Journal of Rural Research, 8(1), 100-121. [In Persian] https://dorl.net/dor/20.1001.1.20087373.1396.8.1.7.5
  • Moroda, G. T., Tolossa, D., & Semie, N. (2018). Perception and Adaptation Strategies of Rural People Against the Adverse Effects of Climate Variability: A Case Study of Boset District, East Shewa, Ethiopia. Environmental Development, 27, 2-13. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envdev.2018.07.005
  • Mubiru, D. N., Radeny, M., Kyazze, F. B., Zziwa, A., Lwasa, J., Kinyangi, J., & Mungai, C. (2018). Climate Trends, Risks and Coping Strategies in Smallholder Farming Systems in Uganda. Climate Risk Management, 22, 4-21. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2018.08.004
  • Mukwada, G., Taylor, S., Manatsa, D., Mahasa, P., & Robinson, G. (2020). Combating Food Insecurity in a Rapidly Changing Mountain Climate Environment: Insights from Lesotho. Climatic change, 163, 989-1006. https://doi.10.1007/s10584-020-02922-z

-          National Center of Climate and Drought Crisis Management. (2023). Final Report on Agricultural Drought, Crop Year 2022-2023. [In Persian] https://ndc.irimo.ir/far/wd/10211

  • Neumeier, S. (2017). Social Innovation in Rural Development: Identifying the Key Factors of Success. The Geographical Journal, 183(1), 34-46. https://doi.org/10.1111/geoj.12180
  • Nixon, R., Ma, Z., Zanotti, L., Khan, B., Birkenholtz, T., Lee, L., & Mian, I. (2022). Adaptation to Social–Ecological Change in Northwestern Pakistan: Household Strategies and Decision-making Processes. Environmental Management, 69(5), 887-905. https://doi.org/ 1007/s00267-021-01583-7
  • Ochieng, J., Kirimi, L., Ochieng, D. O., Njagi, T., Mathenge, M., Gitau, R., & Ayieko, M. (2020). Managing Climate Risk Through Crop Diversification in Rural Kenya. Climatic change, 162, 1107-1125. https://doi.org/1007/s10584-020-02727-0
  • Ombogoh, D. B., Tanui, J., McMullin, S., Muriuki, J., & Mowo, J. (2018). Enhancing Adaptation to Climate Variability in the East African Highlands: A Case for Fostering Collective Action Among Smallholder Farmers in Kenya and Uganda. Climate and Development, 10(1), 61-72. https://doi.org/10.1080/17565529.2016.1174665
  • Oviedo, A. F., Mitraud, S., McGrath, D. G., & Bursztyn, M. (2016). Implementing Climate Variability Adaptation at the Community Level in the Amazon Floodplain. Environmental Science & Policy, 63(C), 151-160. https://doi.org/1016/j.envsci.2016.05.017  
  • Pandey, R., Kumar, P., Archie, K. M., Gupta, A. K., Joshi, P., Valente, D., & Petrosillo, I. (2018). Climate Change Adaptation in the Western-Himalayas: Household Level Perspectives on Impacts and Barriers. Ecological Indicators, 84, 27-37. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2017.08.021
  • Papa, C., Nzokou, P., & Mbow, C. (2020). Farmer Livelihood Strategies and Attitudes in Response to Climate Change in Agroforestry Systems in Kedougou, Environmental Management, 66, 218-231. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00267-020-01302-8
  • Sarkodie, S. A., Adams, S., & Leirvik, T. (2020). Foreign Direct Investment and Renewable Energy in Climate Change Mitigation: Does Governance Matter?. Journal of Cleaner Production, 263, 121262. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.121262
  • Singh, C., Solomon, D., Bendapudi, R., Kuchimanchi, B., Iyer, S., & Bazaz, A. (2019). What Shapes Vulnerability and Risk Management in Semi-Arid India? Moving Towards an Agenda of Sustainable Adaptation. Environmental Development, 30, 35-50. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envdev.2019.04.007
  • Smith, J. B., Schneider, S. H., Oppenheimer, M., Yohe, G. W., Hare, W., Mastrandrea, M. D., Patwardhan, A., Burton, I., Corfee-Morlot, J., & Magadza, C. H. (2009). Assessing Dangerous Climate Change Through an Update of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)“Reasons for Concern”. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 106(11), 4133-4137. https://doi.org/ 1073/pnas.0812355106
  • Sobczak-Szelc, K., & Fekih, N. (2020). Migration as One of Several Adaptation Strategies for Environmental Limitations in Tunisia: Evidence from El Faouar. Comparative Migration Studies, 8(1), 1-20. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40878-019-0163-1
  • Son, H., & Kingsbury, A. (2020). Community Adaptation and climate change in the Northern Mountainous Region of Vietnam: A Case Study of Ethnic Minority People in Bac Kan Province. Asian Geographer, 37(1), 33-51. https://doi.org/10.1080/10225706.2019.1701507
  • Tanner, T., Lewis, D., Wrathall, D., Bronen, R., Cradock-Henry, N., Huq, S., Lawless, C., Nawrotzki, R., Prasad, V., & Rahman, M. A. (2015). Livelihood Resilience in the Face of Climate Change. Nature Climate Change, 5(1), 23-26. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2431
  • Tilley, A., Herrón, P., Espinosa, S., Angarita, J. L., & Box, S. (2018). Predicting Vulnerability to Management Changes in Data-Limited, Small-Scale Fisheries. Marine Policy, 94, 39-45. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2018.04.013
  • Tolera, T., & Senbeta, F. (2020). Pastoral System in the Face of Climate Variability: Household Adaptation Strategies in Borana Rangelands, Southern Ethiopia. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 22(4), 3133-3157. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-019-00339-y
  • Velempini, K., Smucker, T. A., & Clem, K. R. (2018). Community-Based Adaptation to Climate Variability and Change: Mapping and Assessment of Water Resource Management Challenges in the North Pare Highlands, Tanzania. African Geographical Review, 37(1), 30-48. https://doi.org/10.1080/19376812.2016.1229203
  • Velosa, J. E. P., Sánchez, S. R., Marín, A. M., & Becerra, N. M. C. (2022). Prevention of Exposure to Zoonoses in Rural Latin America: Social Ecological Factors in a Diverse Regional Context. One Health, 100444. https://doi.org/ 1016/j.onehlt.2022.100444

Wichern, J., Hammond, J., van Wijk, M. T., Giller, K. E., & Descheemaeker, K. (2023). Production Variability and Adaptation Strategies of Ugandan Smallholders in the Face of Climate Variability and Market Shocks. Climate Risk Management, 40, 100490. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2023.100490

CAPTCHA Image